%0 Journal Article
%A Baghestani, AR
%A Teymourpour, A
%A Bashiri, Y
%T Change point Detection in Mortality Trend in IRAN
%J Iranian Journal of Epidemiology
%V 11
%N 1
%U http://irje.tums.ac.ir/article-1-5345-en.html
%R
%D 2015
%K Change Point, MIC, SIC, Mortality,
%X Background & Objectives: In the analysis of mortality trend in the Iran that is basically a sequences of observations sorted by time, there is a point where the statistical properties of the mortality trend change so that the first k0 observations have a distribution of F0 and other n-k0 observations have a distribution of F1. The point k0 is unknown and called the change point. The aim of this paper was to detect the location of the change point and estimate it in the real mortality data of the country. Methods: In this study, Xt indicated the number of mortality in time t (year) and because of the numeric nature of the variable, we considered the Poisson model for the variable Xt. We assumed in early years (t
%> http://irje.tums.ac.ir/article-1-5345-en.pdf
%P 13-19
%& 13
%!
%9 Research
%L A-10-25-5102
%+
%G eng
%@ 1735-7489
%[ 2015